Analyzing the Effects of Financial Inclusion on Poverty and Income Inequality in Iran: Panel Autoregressive Distributed Lags Approach

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 PhD Candidate in Economics, Faculty of Management and Economics, Islamic Azad University, Science and Research Branch, Tehran, Iran

2 Associate Professor of Economics, Faculty of Management and Economics, Islamic Azad University, Science and Research Branch, Tehran, Iran

3 Associate Professor Economics, Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran

10.48308/jem.2024.233494.1871

Abstract

In recent years, financial inclusion increasingly has been raised as an important socio-economic issue in the political agenda of many governments and international institutions. Increasing attention to this issue is due to a better understanding of its importance and place in economic development and its key role in poverty reduction and inclusive and sustainable development of societies. Therefore, in this study, the effects of financial inclusion on the poverty and income inequality in 30 provinces of the country during the period of 2006-2020 have been investigated using the Panel Autoregressive with Distributed Lags model. The results of the estimation of the income inequality and poverty model show that financial inclusion in the long and short term has caused a decrease and an increase in the Gini coefficient (income inequality index) and the poverty (poverty index), respectively. In such a way that in the long term, with the increase in the financial inclusion index, the Gini coefficient has decreased by 0.91 percent and poverty by 0.20 percent. It can be argued that the existence of a strong financial market with low risk encourages investments. In addition to improving production and employment, this process improves income distribution and reduces poverty.

Keywords

Main Subjects


- Agnello, L., Mallick, S.K. & Sousa, R.M. (2012). Financial reforms and income inequality. Economics Letters, 116(3), 583-587.
- Alkire, S. & Foster, J. (2011). Counting and Multidimensional Poverty Measurement. Journal of Public Economics, 95, 476–487.
- Banerjee A., Chandrasekhar, A.G., Duflo, E. & Jackson, M.O. (2013). The diffusion of microfinance. Science, 341, 363-371.
- Bateman M. (2010). Why Doesn’t Microfinance Work? The Destructive Rise of Local Neoliberalism. London: Zed Books.
- Beck, T., Demirgu, C., Kunt, A. & Levine, R. (2007). Finance, inequality, and the poor. Journal of Economic Growth, 12, 27-49.
- Bezemer, D., & Samarina, A. (2016). Debt Shift, Financial Development and Income Inequality in Europe. University of Groningen, Research Institute SOM (Systems, Organizations and Management, Groningen).
- Cabeza-García, L., Del Brio, E.B. & Oscanoa Victorio, M.L (2019). Female financial inclusion and its impacts on inclusive economic development. In Women's Studies International Forum. 77, 102-130.
- Chinoda, T., & Mashamba, T. (2021). Financial inclusion, bank competition and economic growth in Africa. Journal of Economic and Financial Sciences, 14(1), 120-132.
- Claessens, S. & Perotti, E. (2007). Finance and inequality: channels and evidence. Journal of Comparative Economics, 35(4), 748-773.
- Clarke, GRG., Xu, L.C. & Zou, H. (2006). Finance and inequality: what do the data tell us. South Economic, 72, 578-596.
- de Aghion, A.B. & Morduch, J. (2005). The Economics of Microfinance. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
- Demirgu, C., Kunt, A., Beck, T. & Honohan, P. (2016). The World Bank Finance for All? Policies and Pitfalls in Expanding Access. A World Bank Policy Research Report, Development Research Group (DECRG). Washington DC: The World Bank Group.
- Driss T. (2022). Financial Inclusion, Poverty, and Income Inequality: Evidence from High, Middle, and Low-income Countries. Scientific Annals of Economics and Business, 69(1), 69-98.
- Galor, O. & Zeira, J. (1993). Income distribution and macroeconomics. Review of Economic Studies, 60, 35 -52.
- Ghasemi, H. & Arabmazar, A. (2018). Estimation of the Resilience Index of the Monetary and Financial Sector of the Iranian Economy. Applied Economic Theory, 6(3), 23-48 (In Persian).
- Greenwood, J., & Jovanovic, B. (1990). Financial Development, Growth, and the Distribution of Income. Journal of Political Economy, 98(5, Part 1), 1076-1107.https://doi.org/10.1086/261720
- Hung, A., Yoong, J., & Brown, E. (2012). Empowering women through financial awareness and education. OECD working papers on finance, insurance and private pension’s no. 14OECD.
- Im, K.S., M.H. Pesaran & Shin, Y. (1997). Testing for Unit Roots in Heterogeneous Panel. Econometrics, 115(1), 53-74.
- Kao, C. (1999). Spurious Regression and Residual Based Test for Co-integration in Panel Data. Journal of Econometrics, 90, 1-44.
- Khan, A.Q., Hafeez, M.H., Saleem, N., & Azam, M. (2018). Exploring the Impact of Financial Development on Inequality: Evidence from Three Asian Countries. Review of Economics and Development Studies, 4(2), 341-355.
- King, R.G., & Levine, R. (1993). Finance and growth Schumpeter might be right. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 10, 717-737.
- Levin, R., & Zervos, S. (1998). Stock markets, banks and economic growth. American Economic Review, 88, 537-558. 
- Levin, A. & Lin, C.F. (1992). Unit Root Test in Panel Data: Asymptotic and Finite Sample Properties. Discussion Paper, No. 92-93, University of California.
- Liang, Z. (2008). Financial Development and Income Inequality in Rural China 1991–2000. In Understanding Inequality and Poverty in China (pp. 72-88), Springer. https://doi.org/10.1057/9780230584259_3
- Noferesti, A., Razmi, M.J., Ahmadi-Shadmehri, M.T., & Noferesti, M. (2016). The impact of financial development on income inequality in Iran: Revisiting the role of human capital. Economics and Modelling, 8(29), 119-148 (In Persian).
- Osakwe, P.N., & Solleder, O. (2023). Wealth Distribution, Income Inequality and Financial Inclusion: A Panel Data Analysis. UNITED NATIONS CONFERENCE ON TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT, WORKING PAPER No. 4.
- Rajan R.G., & Zingales L. (1998). Financial dependence and growth. American Economic Review, 88, 559- 586.
- Rajan, R.G., & Zingales L. (2003). The great reversals: the politics of financial development in the 20th century. Journal of Financial Economics, 69, 5-50.
- Rashidi, P., & Naji Maidani, A. (2012). Investigation of poverty indicators in the urban areas of Razavi Khorasan Province (1385-1391). Economics and Modelling, 4(14,15), 133-155 (In Persian).
- Rezaei, M., (2015). The effect of financial development on economic growth in Iran. The second international conference on management, economy and development, Tehran (In Persian).
- Salehi, F. (2019). Investigating the effect of financial intermediation on financial inclusion through the mediating role of social capital (case study: customers of Qarz Al-Hasneh Resalat Bank branches in Tehran). Payam Noor University Master of Business Administration thesis (In Persian).
- Salehifar, M. & Zaman, E. (2017). The role of financial inclusion in inclusive economic development. The third international conference on dynamic management, accounting and auditing (In Persian).
- Salmani, B., Asgharpour, H., & Jalilpour, S. (2016). The Effect of Government Policies and Public Debt on Financial Development in Iran. Planning and Budgeting, 21(1), 83-104 (In Persian).
- Samoui, A., Hassanvand, D., Khochiani, R. & Zahid Gharavi, M., (2019). Modeling financial inclusion and its threshold effects on the economic growth of OPEC member countries (threshold panel regression). Applied Economics, 10(32,33), 66-77 (In Persian).
- Segning, B.A., Djiogap, C.F., Piabuo, S.M., & Noupie, E.N., (2023). Financial Inclusion and Income Inequality in Sub‑Saharan Africa: Taking Socio‑Cultural Particularities into Account. Journal of the Knowledge Economy, 105-112 https://doi.org/10.1007/s13132-023-01207-x