Journal of Economics and Modelling

Journal of Economics and Modelling

The Effect of Political Risk, Uncertainty, and Economic Complexity on Ecological Footprint in Oil-Exporting Developing Countries

Document Type : Original Article

Authors
Karim Eslamloueyan 1
Fateme َAsadi 2
Mahboubeh Jafari 3
1 Professor of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Social Sciences, Shiraz University, Shiraz, Iran
2 MA in Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Social Sciences, Shiraz University, Shiraz, Iran
3 Assistant Professor of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Social Sciences, Shiraz University, Shiraz, Iran
10.48308/jem.2024.235137.1906
Abstract
The main goal of this study is to investigate the effects of political risks, uncertainty, and economic complexity on the ecological footprint in a selection of developing countries. We estimate our model using the Systemic Generalized Moments method (SYS-GMM) for a panel of 22 oil-exporting developing countries. The method allows us to resolve the possible endogeneity problem. Other control variables include economic growth, human capital, and trade openness. The estimation results show that reducing political risks increases the quality of the environment. Moreover, an increase in the world uncertainty index improves the quality of the environment because it reduces investment and output growth in oil-exporting developing countries and, hence, decreases the use of natural resources. In addition, we also find that economic complexity increases the ecological footprint. In other words, higher complexity might result in lower environmental quality in oil-exporting economies. Furthermore, higher per capita GDP growth rate, human capital, and trade openness increase the ecological footprint. It means these variables are likely to increase environmental degradation in oil-exporting countries. Our results might have important policy implications for policymakers. Our research emphasizes the significance of mitigating political risks to enhance environmental quality.
Keywords
Ecological Footprint
Political Risks
Economic Complexity
Uncertainty
Oil-Exporting Developing Countries
Subjects
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