اندازه‌گیری دورکاری و شوک عرضه نیروی کار ناشی از بحران کرونا در ایران

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 استادیار گروه اقتصاد دانشکده علوم اجتماعی دانشگاه رازی دانشگاه رازی، کرمانشاه، ایران

2 دانشجوی دکتری گروه اقتصاد دانشکده علوم اجتماعی دانشگاه رازی، کرمانشاه، ایران

چکیده

شیوع ویروس کرونا در جهان رنج و سختی فراوانی را برای جامعه بشری به همراه داشته است؛ اما این رنج و سختی به بیماری و مرگ­ومیر محدود نبوده­ و اقتصاد جهان را در معرض خطر قرار داده و شوک اقتصادی ناشی از آن بر پیکره اقتصاد در سراسر جهان قابل‌توجه است. بسیاری از کشورها برای مهار این ویروس قرنطینه­های گسترده و محدودیت­های وسیعی وضع کرده­اند. ایران نیز با اعمال فاصله­گذاری اجتماعی و تعطیلی مشاغل غیرضروری سعی در کنترل اشاعه این بیماری داشته است. از این­رو کرونا توانسته است اخلال اقتصادی عمده­ای را به‌جای بگذارد. لذا در این مطالعه با محاسبه شاخص دورکاری و طبقه­بندی مشاغل و فعالیت­ها در دو گروه ضروری و غیرضروری، شوک عرضه ناشی از بحران کرونا بر پیکره اقتصاد ایران موردمحاسبه قرار گرفت. نتایج حاکی از آن است که شوک عرضه کل معادل 34% بوده و به تفکیک گروه­های شغلی اصلی بیشترین شوک عرضه در گروه­های شغلی «صنعتگران و کارکنان مشاغل مربوط» و «کارگران ساده» به ترتیب با میزان 70% و 62% بوده است.

کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله [English]

Measuring Remote Labor Index and Supply Shock of the Covid-19 Virus in Iran

نویسندگان [English]

  • Mohammad Sharif Karimi 1
  • Elham Heshmati dayari 2
  • Azadeh Shahab 2
1 Associate Professor of Economics, Faculty of Social Sciences, Razi University, Kermanshah, Iran
2 Ph.D Candidate in Economics, Faculty of Social Sciences, Razi University, Kermanshah, Iran
چکیده [English]

The outbreak and spread of the corona virus in the world have caused great suffering and hardship to human society. But this suffering is not limited to disease and mortality and has put the global economy at risk. The shock caused by this virus on the world economy is very significant. Many countries have extensive quarantines and restrictions to curb the virus. Iran has also tried to control the spread of the disease by using social distancing and closing down non-essential jobs. Hence, Corona has been able to cause major economic problems. Therefore, in this study, the remote labor index (RLI) was calculated. Jobs and activities are classified into essential and non-essential. The data of 1397 for jobs and activities from the Statistics Center of Iran have been used, to calculate the supply shock caused by the Corona virus on the economy of Iran. The results show that the total supply shock was equal to 34% and according to the main occupational groups, the highest supply shocks were in the occupational groups of "artisans and related occupations" and "simple workers" with 70% and 62%, respectively.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Iran
  • Remote Labor Index
  • Supply Shock
  • Corona Virus

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