تأثیر متقابل نهاد و جهانی شدن بر شاخص فلاکت

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 استاد گروه اقتصاد دانشکده علوم اجتماعی و اقتصادی دانشگاه الزهرا، تهران، ایران

2 کارشناسی ارشد گروه اقتصاد دانشکده علوم اجتماعی و اقتصادی دانشگاه الزهرا، تهران

10.48308/jem.2024.234657.1891

چکیده

شاخص فلاکت یک نشانگر اقتصادی است که از جمع نرخ تورم و نرخ بیکاری به دست می‌آید و افزایش آن به معنی کاهش رفاه اجتماعی و گسترش فقر است. تحقیق حاضر با رویکرد داده‌های تابلویی و روش گشتاورهای تعمیم‌یافته به بررسی تأثیر متقابل نهاد و جهانی شدن بر شاخص فلاکت در دو گروه از کشورهای با درآمد سرانه بالاتر از 25 هزار دلار و کشورهای با درآمد سرانه پایین‌تر از 25 هزار دلار طی دوره 2020-2008 می‌پردازد. نتایج برآورد نشان می‌دهد شاخص نهادی حکمرانی تأثیر منفی و معناداری بر شاخص فلاکت در هر دو گروه از کشورهای منتخب دارد. بر این اساس یک درصد بهبود در کیفیت حکمرانی 26/0 درصد در کشورهای با درآمد سرانه بالا و 14/0 درصد در کشورهای با درآمد سرانه پایین منجر به کاهش شاخص فلاکت می‌شود. همچنین شاخص جهانی شدن تأثیر منفی و معناداری بر شاخص فلاکت در هر دو گروه از کشورهای منتخب دارد بدان معنا که یک درصد افزایش در جهانی شدن 53/0 درصد در کشورهای با درآمد سرانه بالا و 29/0 درصد در کشورهای با درآمد سرانه پایین منجر به کاهش شاخص فلاکت می‌شود. بنابراین توصیه به بسترسازی مناسب بهبود کیفیت حکمرانی از کانال بهبود کیفیت قوانین و مقررات، حاکمیت قانون، کنترل فساد و کارایی و اثربخشی دولت در راستای بهره‌گیری از فضای جهانی شدن به منظور دستیابی به نرخ تورم و نرخ بیکاری پایین (کاهش شاخص فلاکت) می‌گردد.

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات

عنوان مقاله [English]

Interaction Effect of Institution and Globalization on Misery Index

نویسندگان [English]

  • Abolfazl Shahabadi 1
  • Tayebeh Moumivand 2
1 Professor, Faculty of Social Sciences and Economics, Alzahra University, Tehran, Iran
2 MA in Economics, Faculty of Social Sciences and Economics, Alzahra University, Tehran, Iran
چکیده [English]

The misery index is an economic indicator that is obtained from the sum of the inflation rate and the unemployment rate, and its increase indicates a decrease in social welfare and the spread of poverty. The current research, using the panel data approach and the method of generalized moments (GMM), examines the impact of the institution and globalization on the misery index in two groups of countries with a per capita income above 25 thousand dollars and countries with a per capita income below 25 thousand dollars during the period of 2008-2020. The results show that the governance institutional index has a negative and significant effect on the misery index in both groups of selected countries. Based on this, a one percent improvement in the quality of governance leads to a reduction of the misery index by 0.26 percent in countries with high per capita income and 0.14 percent in countries with low per capita income. Also, the globalization index has a negative and significant effect on the misery index in both groups of selected countries, which means that a one percent increase in the globalization leads to a decrease in the misery index by 0.53% in countries with high per capita income and 0.29% in countries with low per capita income. Therefore, it is recommended to provide a suitable foundation for improving the quality of governance through the channel of improving the quality of laws and regulations, the rule of law, corruption control, and the efficiency and effectiveness of the government to take advantage of the globalization environment in order to achieve a low inflation rate and unemployment rate, so reducing the misery index.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Misery Index
  • Institution
  • Globalization
  • Innovation

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