بررسی تأثیر آسیب‌پذیری اقتصادی و کیفیت حکمرانی بر توسعه پایدار

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 دانشجوی دکتری گروه اقتصاد دانشکده اقتصاد و مدیریت دانشگاه ارومیه، ارومیه، ایران

2 دانشیار گروه اقتصاد دانشکده اقتصاد و مدیریت دانشگاه ارومیه، ارومیه، ایران

10.48308/jem.2024.236682.1938

چکیده

در دهه‌های اخیر، رسیدن به اهداف توسعه پایدار از مهمترین ملاحظات سیاست‌گذاری کشورها بوده است. از این‌رو مطالعات متعددی به بررسی عوامل موثر بر توسعه پایدار پرداخته‌اند. به نظر می‌رسد آسیب‌پذیری اقتصادی تأثیر قابل توجهی بر اهداف توسعه پایدار داشته باشد ولی این مساله مورد توجه مطالعات قبلی قرار نگرفته است. این مطالعه با هدف بررسی تأثیر آسیب‌پذیری اقتصادی بر اهداف توسعه پایدار انجام گرفته و برای این منظور از داده‌های 48 کشور نوظهور طی دوره 2007-2021 استفاده گردیده است. همچنین برای تجزیه‌وتحلیل اثرات غیرخطی متغیرها و نقش کیفیت حکمرانی از رویکرد رگرسیون پانل انتقال ملایم بهره گرفته شده است. نتایج نشان می‌دهد که آسیب‌پذیری اقتصادی تأثیر منفی بر اهداف توسعه پایدار در کشورهای نوظهور دارد. اما بهبود کیفیت حکمرانی این اثر را تاحدی تقلیل می‌دهد. همچنین باز بودن اقتصاد و توسعه انسانی تأثیر مثبت، ولی وفور منابع طبیعی، شدت صنعتی‌شدن و شدت مصرف انرژی تأثیر منفی بر اهداف توسعه پایدار دارد. سیاست‌های کاهش آسیب‌پذیری اقتصادی و تقویت مقاومت اقتصادی، ایجاد صندوق مستقل برای درآمدهای حاصل از فروش منابع طبیعی و هدایت آن‌ها به سرمایه‌گذاری در زیرساخت‌ها، اصلاح ساختار تولید و ایجاد استاندارهای لازم در جهت کاهش شدت مصرف انرژی، کاهش موانع تجاری و بهبود فرآیند صنعتی‌سازی با توجه به ملاحظات زیست‌محیطی از توصیه‌های مهم این مطالعه است.

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات

عنوان مقاله [English]

Investigating the Impact of Economic Vulnerability and the Quality of Governance on Sustainable Development

نویسندگان [English]

  • Qutaiba Nadhim ferman 1
  • Yousef Mohammadzadeh 2
  • Hassan Khodavaisi 2
  • Shahab Jahangiri 2
1 PhD Candidate in Economics, Faculty of Economics and Management, Urmia University, Urmia, Iran
2 Associate Professor of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Management, Urmia University, Urmia, Iran
چکیده [English]

In recent decades, achieving sustainable development goals has become a central policy objective for many countries. Consequently, numerous studies have examined the factors influencing sustainable development, with economic vulnerability emerging as a significant but previously overlooked factor. This study investigates the impact of economic vulnerability on sustainable development goals using data of 48 emerging economies over the period 2007-2021. Employing a Panel Smooth Transition Regression (PSTR) approach, the study analyzes the nonlinear effects of the variables and the moderating role of governance quality. The results indicate that economic vulnerability negatively affects sustainable development goals in emerging economies. However, improvements in governance quality can mitigate this adverse effect to some extent. The study further reveals that economic openness and human development have positive effects on sustainable development goals, while natural resource abundance, industrialization intensity, and energy intensity have negative effects. Policy recommendations include implementing measures to reduce economic vulnerability and enhance economic resilience, establishing independent funds to manage natural resource revenues and directing them towards infrastructure investments, reforming production structures and implementing standards to reduce energy intensity, lowering trade barriers, and promoting industrialization processes that consider environmental sustainability.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Economic Vulnerability
  • Quality of Institutions
  • Sustainable Development

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